Skip to main content

The Forecast Problem

Forecasts are stories we tell ourselves. The question is whether they're based on evidence.

Stories, Not Evidence

Reps forecast based on narratives they construct—'The meeting went well, they loved the demo'—not objective evidence.

Inside View Bias

Humans naturally construct plausible narratives and mistake them for predictions. Every deal feels winnable from the inside.

CRM Reflects Optimism

Deal stages are based on activities completed, not customer reality. 'Proposal sent' doesn't mean they're buying.

The emotional problem: Reps resist honest qualification because acknowledging gaps feels like admitting failure. So fiction becomes commitment.

The Three Whys Framework

If any of these is missing from the conversation, the deal is fiction—regardless of what stage it's in.

1

Why does this cost money?

Quantified pain—not vague 'efficiency gains'

If missing: No cost quantified in any call

2

Why us?

Competitive differentiation—why not the alternative

If missing: Haven't addressed competitor comparison

3

Why now?

Urgency or compelling event driving timeline

If missing: No timeline or event discussed

How AmpUp Helps

AI that looks at the evidence, not the story.

Analyze Actual Conversations

AI looks at what the customer actually said—not what the rep interpreted or hoped.

Flag Missing Evidence

Automatically surfaces deals missing key buying signals. 'No compelling event discussed.'

Remove Emotional Friction

System shows gaps neutrally—it's not the manager calling out the rep, it's data.

Objective Deal Scores

Health scores based on conversation evidence, not CRM checkboxes.

Deal Health Analysis: Acme Corp
Why this costs money?
Quantified: $2.4M/year
Why us?
Not addressed in any call
Why now?
Weak: "Q2 initiative"
Recommendation

Before committing this deal: Address "Why us?" explicitly. Ask about alternatives they're evaluating. Current stage (Proposal) is ahead of evidence.

Not Just CRM Data

AmpUp analyzes what the customer actually said in conversations—not what the rep entered in Salesforce.

"The deal stage says Proposal. The conversations say we haven't addressed their main concern yet."

Ready to Stop Forecasting Fiction?

See how AmpUp can improve your forecast accuracy with real buying signal detection.

Book a Demo